The trouble, says Nobel Laureate psychologist Daniel Kahneman, is that we’re often confident in our intuitive judgments even when we have no idea what we’re doing.
This raises an important question with regards to startup culture: If as an entrepreneur, you actually knew the the odds of success, would you even try?
Paul O'Flaherty 
this video is private!
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I’ll try to find another copy Jim, it wasn’t private when I originally posted it.
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